Time is exhausted to prevent climate change: If CO2 emissions continue at the current rate, the window will close within 3 years to prevent 1.5 ° C heating, scientists warn you

Scientists, a new report to prevent climate change is exhausted.

Only 130 billion tons of carbon dioxide remained in the ‘carbon budget’ – the amount of carbon that can spread before hitting the critical limit of the world 1.5 ° C.

If the world continues to produce greenhouse gases at an existing rate, it will go only in three years.

Moreover, the remaining carbon budget to prevent heating 1.6 ° C or 1.7 ° C will be burned in a short period of nine years in existing rates.

The report found that 2024 experienced high temperatures of ‘worrying’ high temperatures, which was warmer in a warmer more than 1.52 ° C (2.74 ° F) than the pre -industrial criterion.

In general, this heating can extend to 1.36 ° C (2.45 ° F) directly to human activity and the remaining 0.16 ° C (0.29 ° F) comes from natural fluctuations.

One year of heating of 1.5 ° C does not mean that the Paris agreement is violated, but shows that the world is approaching this threshold in a dangerous way.

Professor Joeri Roelj, a joint writer and climatic scientist at Imperial College London, says: ‘The window that will remain in 1.5 ° C is closing quickly. Emissions in the next decade will determine how early and how fast the heating of 1.5 ° C has been reached. ‘

A new study shows that there is 130 billion tons of carbon dioxide in the carbon budget ‘, which is the amount of carbon that can spread before the world is 1.5 ° C. These three years will go at existing rates

2024, an worrying manner with an alarming way, which is warmer than the industrial pre -criterion to 1.52 ° C (2.74 ° F), is experienced. Worrying, 1.36 ° C (2.45 ° F) of this warming can return directly to human activity.

The annual indicators of the global climate change study combine 10 basic indicators of climate change to give a wide picture of the health of the planet.

The data show that we are rapidly approaching the heating limits determined by the Paris Climate Agreement and the remaining ‘carbon budget’ is reduced.

Professor Rogegelj explains that the carbon budget is’ with a total amount of carbon dioxide that we live in a large amount of carbon dioxide spread to the atmosphere by human activities.

“This means that heating is a limited amount of carbon dioxide to spread if we want to prevent heating from exceeding a certain level.

‘The remaining carbon budget predicts how much of this amount remains when we look at where we stand today.’

By looking at the existing heating rates and how much heating of the planet CO2, the researchers calculated that 130 billion tons of CO2 would bring humanity to the 1.5 ° C limit specified in the Paris agreement.

At the current rate, the world releases approximately 53 billion tons equivalent each year.

To put this on the perspective, it is the same as the 5.2 million Eiffel tower pumped into the atmosphere every year.

Previous measurements at the Mauna Loa Observatory show that Hawaii (illustrated), CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere are higher than the history of the planet is higher than in the last two million years.

If emissions are not rapidly reduced to more sustainable levels, there will be no way to exceed 1.5 ° C and trigger more serious and dangerous consequences.

Although 2024 is more than 1.5 ° C before the pre -industrial average, this does not mean that the Paris agreement has been violated.

This international treaty is taken on average for decades to follow the efforts to limit its signatures’ heating to 1.5 ° C.

However, looking at the climate on a wider scale of time indicates that we are quickly approaching a time when it will be violated.

During the decades of 2015-2024, the average surface temperature on Earth was 1.24 ° C (2.23 ° F) was warmer than before the industrial revolution.

Professor Roelj told Mailonline that this change was due to the fact that the ‘whole’ puts more greenhouse gas in the atmosphere.

In the last decade, the study found that only 0.02 ° C (0.04 ° F) had a non -human reasons, which Professor Roelj called a ‘negligible’ amount.

Compared to the passage from the last glacial age – one of the fastest natural heating periods in the history of the planet – the heating rate was about 1.5 ° C (2.7 ° F) in a thousand years.

Increased surface temperatures exceeding 1.5 ° C carries the risk of significant increases in excessive weather events that can create conditions for forest fires such as Los Angeles in January (in the picture)

This is equivalent to heating only 0.02 ° C (0.04 ° F) compared to 1.22 ° C) of human -welded heating today.

As greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase, the heating rate increases to the present day.

The global heating rate, which was seen between 2012 and 2024, was two floors in the 1970s and 1980s.

At these rates, researchers estimate that the world’s Paris Agreement will violate around 2030 average heating limits.

This already causes measurable changes in the oceans that absorb 91 percent of the overheral heat trapped by greenhouse gases, especially in the world climate.

Warmer water leads to rising sea levels, faster ice melting and more severe storms.

Nioz Royal Research Leader of the Institute of Netherlands Research. Aimée Slangen says: ‘Since 1900, the global average marine level has increased by 228 mm.

“A small number of apparently makes a major effect on the low -lying coastal areas, making storm fluctuations more harmful and causes more coastal erosion, pose a threat to humans and coastal ecosystems.

Researchers say that the existing greenhouse gas emission rates will be burned in a short period of nine years to prevent heating of 1.6 ° C or 1.7 ° C.

Most of the excess heat created by greenhouse gases are absorbed by oceans that cause increased sea levels and ice melting

‘The relevant part is that we know that the increase in sea level is relatively slow in response to climate change, which means that we have been locked up in the coming years and decades in the coming years.’

Researchers behind the report say that action should be done to reduce the ratio of greenhouse gas emissions to prevent more serious effects of climate change.

Professor Roelj concludes: ‘How much carbon budget depends on the heating level we want to limit global warming and how high heating we want to allow the risk of heating.

However, in general, it is important that we stop spreading climate pollution as quickly as possible for any temperature limit aimed at avoiding dangerous climate change.

‘Decreases are delayed every year, contributing to this cumulative problem.’