‘City killer’ asteroid 2024 YR4 may no longer be in a collision course with the Earth.
However, NASA increased the likelihood of hitting the moon in just seven years.
According to the Space Agency, currently 2024 YR4 has the chance to enter the moon on 22 December 2032.
The coup event can be seen from Earth as a bright light gleam because the moon material is removed into space.
2024 YR4, which was discovered only at the end of last year, is between 174 to 220 feet (53 and 67 meters) of the same size as the Boeing 747.
If the space rock would hit the Earth, it would have been equivalent to an explosion of 7.7 Megaton TNT and leaving a 3000 feet -wide crater.
The shock wave spread from the effect would wipe an area of the size of a large city, so it was called ‘city killer’.
Fortunately, the chance of hitting the Earth effectively zero, but new NASA observations increases the likelihood of hitting the moon.
‘City killer’ asteroid 2024 YR4 may no longer be in a collision course with the Earth. However, NASA increased the likelihood of hitting the moon in just seven years (stock image)
In just seven years, NASA increased the likelihood of the asteroid 2024 YR4 to hit the moon. 2024 YR4 captured here, as observed by Magdalena Ridge Telescope in New Mexico, January 27, 2025
The probability of effect is 4.3 percent: The chance of hitting the rock moon will probably continue to rise and fall. This NASA image shows the range of possible places represented by yellow spots in 2024 YR4 on 22 December 2032.
According to NASA, the new rates, 2024 YR4’un moon collision was raised slightly increased from the previous 3.8 percent chance.
NASA’s Planet Defense Coordination Office Public Relations Officer Molly Wasser, “ data comes, the possibility of impact is normal, ” he said.
More than 30 million miles away, asteroid 2024 YR4 is now too far away from the telescopes in the world.
That’s why NASA rely on the observations of the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), which is placed in space about 1 million miles away from us.
Asteroid 2024 YR4 is currently taking a wide ‘elliptical’ (not perfect circular) around the sun, even further from us.
When the space rock returns to Earth and becomes bright enough to be detected, more updates will not be possible until 2028.
Before escaping from this view, the JWST managed to gather another observation of the object using his camera close to infrared last month.
Wasser, “ with additional data, the agency’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in the Southern California NASA’nın world close object studies center experts, asteroid orbit further refined, ” he said.
Asteroid 2024 YR4 is currently taking a wide ‘elliptical’ (not perfect circular) orbit around the sun. This image shows 2024 YR4 for the orbit of purple with the orbits of the sun and planets in the center (mercury = cian; venus = yellow; soil = dark blue; mars = red). Beware of the position of the asteroid to the earth (dark blue point) (dark blue dot) about a month before an effect.
When it gets close to the inner solar system, the asteroid will be surprisingly reaching 85 million miles per hour (38,000 km per second).
Asteroids accelerate as the sun approaches the sun due to gravity gravity from the sun – like an object traveling a little faster, how much approach to the earth on earth.
According to NASA, if the asteroid hit the moon, it would not change the orbit of our natural satellite on earth.
However, it will create a large crater that raises the rocky moon material into space and produces a bright flash that must be seen from the Earth.
The effect of the effect can follow the first time the scientists create a known asteroid forming a one -month crater in real time.
The data collected from this effect can help scientists learn more about other craters on the moon surface.
As in standing, there is no chance of hitting the moon at all, and there is no chance of 95.7 percent – and probably probably will continue to rise and fall.
This image provided by the European Space Agency on April 2, 2025, captured by NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope, asteroid 2024 YR4
Asteroid 2024 YR4 is approximately the same size as Tunguska Asteroid, which caused the biggest effect of the record in the history of the world when it was withdrawn from the atmosphere of the Earth in 1908, and 830 miles square (in the picture) flattening forest (in the picture)
Asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered on December 27, 2024 – and soon became a global concern.
In February, 2024 YR4, the possibility of hitting the Earth reached 32 or 3.1 percent, in February, the alarm bells stolen to the world space agencies.
Fortunately, after about a week, The rates were largely reduced to 0.0039 percent or 26,000.
According to NASA, the asteroid 2024 YR4 is thought to be the same size as Tunguska asteroid, with at least 130 feet diameters.
When Tunguska withdrew from the Earth’s atmosphere in 1908, it caused the biggest impact on the recorded history, and 830 miles square (2,150 km square) forest flattened.
Many of them lost their consciousness and at least three people passed away as a direct result of the Tunguska activity. 2019 study.
Experts are concerned that we can detect an asteroid depending on the world that threatens civilization too late, and there is not enough time for a task to overthrow it.
