New Delhi: In the tolerance group of the Central Bank, India’s headline retail inflation in August, which remained more than three quarters of 2-6 percent in a row, rose from 1.61 percent to 1.07 percent in the previous month, mainly due to the increase in vegetables, meat and fish prices.
According to data published by the National Statistics Office (NSO), the consumer price index or the CPI -based inflation was 3.65 percent in August 2024. “In August 2025, title inflation and an increase in food inflation are mainly due to an increase in meat and fish, oil and fat, personal care inflation,” he said.
The Indian Reserve Bank (RBI) was required by the government to ensure that inflation remains 4 percent with a 2 percent margin on both sides. However, in recent months, the main effects of multi -year low -level title inflation have probably pledged in August and coincided with a acceleration in food price increases, which constitute almost half of the consumer price basket.
According to NSO data, food prices continued in the deflationist region and fell by 0.69 percent in August and 1.76 percent in the previous month. Data, “Similarly, cereal inflation 3.1 percent earlier, 2.7 percent to the lowest level of 44 months, while vegetables and pulses remained in deflation for the seventh month, which was 15.9 percent and 14.5 percent, respectively,” he said.
On the contrary, the data also showed that oil inflation rose to the highest level of 21.2 percent in August in August. Data, “Furthermore, mustard oil prices increased by 24.2 percent, while refined oil prices were 23.5 percent higher and coconut oil inflation was 133.1 percent,” he said.
However, economists and analysts estimate that despite a slight increase in consumer inflation, it will show a new low in the next three months. “Although October-November 2025 is likely to print around 2.6 percent, the orbit can then remain upward slope,” he said.
When we look at it, ICRA said that the GST ratio deductions applied on September 22, 2025 and that the average monthly prices are used to calculate price indices, the impact on CPI inflation is not important in the ongoing month.
Nayar suggests a status quo for the repo ratio in October 2025 policy examination, along with the growth of GDP and GST reforms on growth in later quarters, Nayar said Nayar, Nayar said.
“Despite healthy tendencies in Kharif sowing, in the late August 2025 and at the beginning of September 2025 in some parts of the country, large extreme rains and floods may affect Kharif crop yields and as a result and the prices can be affected and therefore a significant monitoring, Nayar added.
