Edward Dowd, former Blackrock funding manager from the market meltdown and stagnation
A former Blackrock fund manager issued a great warning about the US economy.
New report Edward Dowd, one of the market decayers, predicts a stagnation and market melting, partly directed by a housing crisis and an explosive AI balloon.
Dowd shows that since 2022, new home permits have collapsed and rented as early signs of a falling tenant housing accident.
The authority warns that government expenditures and slowing down in illegal migration will provide economic growth, and the stock exchanges will face a 50% potential decrease compared to historical patterns.
“The idea here is that you have a stagnation that we think it manifests very soon, and in the first quarter of 2026, the shares hit the bottom.
Then there is an improvement, this is the ideal situation… We do not claim that nothing will be systemic. We are not doomsday and gloom. We just think it’s an old -fashioned deep stagnation and I hope fast. Typically, when talking in stagnation such as DOT-COM stagnation and a major financial crisis, the stocks fell 50% before healing, so we are not yet close to 50%, and we think it is coming. “
The Dow Jones industrial average decreased from 45,073 to 38.314 last month from the highest level of all time in December 2024.
Dowd monitors the crisis with increased automobile loans, which indicate a global debt problem, commercial real estate and a wider credit crisis, which is temporarily masked with money pressure and expenditures of Covid era.
In the long run, deflationist prints await to force Federal Reserve to reduce rates and print money.
For protection, Dowd points to Berkshire Hathaway’s large position in T-T-T-T-T-T-T-BONO/Bonds, while he is warned against Bitcoin’s volatility and risk assets and historical correlation.
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